There are a number of outcomes that could result from a weak felony case. I would need to know more details about the case and the charge to give you a more accurate evaluation. However, generally a weak Felony offense will either be reduced to a lesser included misdemeanor offense of dismissed by the prosecutor or Judge (by way of Motion Hearing). If you are charged with a Felony offense you should consult with an Attorney immediately. Time is of the essence in all criminal matters!
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As already explained, 69 points equals 30.75 months prison. However, that is not a guarantee that the person will go to prison. You should speak with a criminal defense attorney to discuss all options like a departure from the guidelines.
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Your PO is required to violate you as a result of your new charge. However, as already explained by another lawyer you did get a break from the PO because he/she did not request a warrant. You should hire a criminal defense attorney in your area IMMEDIATELY to begin your defense. Stop writing letters to the Judge. Your attorney will present your side to the State Attorney. Good luck!