You can visit USCIS website and read on provisional waivers. They did a good job of outlining the programs. The idea is that you will have to follow the specific steps outlined very closely if you would like to see success on the waiver. What is troubling is that when you read the grounds for automatic revocation of the PW granted by USCIS, the consulate still holds a lot of discretion. So, theoretically speaking, since no one has gone through the process all the way to tell the tale yes, you should be in Mexico for a short time. At least that is the stated purpose of the waiver. That is provided the consulate there does not make a finding that your PW was automatically revoked for some obscure reason.
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There is no verifiable or definitely available timeline for anyone as the Provisional Waivers have become operational on March 4, 2013 and, as you may imagine, each case may take a particular review time, some shorter, some longer, to completion.
To do these things right you would greatly benefit from an experienced professional attorney.
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I agree with my colleagues. The program is still quite new and we need to wait-and-see how it develops.
Meet with an immigration attorney before filing anything.
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You should expect to leave the U.S. about a 12 - 16 months after filing.
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Under the new provisional waiver process, once your waiver is granted, you will be required to return to Mexico to complete the process via consular processing, as you seem to already be aware. However, since the new provisional (also known as "stateside") waiver law just took effect on March 4th, enough time has not yet passed for anyone to have made their way through the entire process. Therefore, we don't really know just yet how long applicant's will need to expect to remain aboard. Your post does not mention any hardship--keep in mind that you must prove that your US citizen spouse, or a qualifying relative, under the law, will suffer extreme hardship if you were to be forced to return to Mexico. The extreme hardship test requires a very high standard of proof and is very tough to prove successfully. The waivers can be difficult, so I highly recommend that you consult with an experienced immigration attorney when you are ready to move forward with the process. Best of luck to you!
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