Yes they can switch your po without telling you. Yes probation officers make mistakes. Yes he has a chance of not getting jail time. I have no idea why he was revoked. He will be served with a copy of the state's motion to revoke, and it will tell him why he's been violated. He needs an attorney. That person will know how to handle the situation.
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Sure. Anybody can make a mistake. But to actually arrest him means that there is probably an active motion to revoke/adjudicate...meaning that the DA thinks he has done something else to violate his probation since the last time they brought him to court. He needs to get a good lawyer involved. If I'm right then the DA and judge will initially not be very willing to keep him on probation the second time around. A good lawyer that knows the system will be able to get him in the best position possible.
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An individual's probation officer can be changed at any time. Further, probation officers can make a mistake like anyone else. However, in order to arrest an individual the probation officer to effectuate an arrest there has to be an active motion to revoke/adjudicate. This motion is predicated on the prosecutors believe that the accused has done something or failed to do something he was required to do to violate his probation. He needs to get a good lawyer involved.
If this is his second time to be arrested on a violation the ADA and judge may be very hesitant to continue him on probation. If so, an experienced attorney may be able to work out a favorable plea.